Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 1.874389 2.166223 2.487044 2.865709 3.300261 3.783198 4.360500
2025-03-30 1.514908 1.907556 2.375722 2.974344 3.718813 4.613626 5.770423
2025-04-06 1.223677 1.661360 2.221678 2.989970 4.014551 5.332426 7.155174
2025-04-13 0.954456 1.387331 1.978265 2.841167 4.066333 5.740666 8.200111
2025-04-20 0.826656 1.277404 1.929149 2.935846 4.447103 6.626388 10.002568
2025-04-27 0.740551 1.209947 1.925062 3.087360 4.922353 7.699699 12.213309
2025-05-04 0.652946 1.123494 1.875933 3.157881 5.278006 8.632950 14.330021
2025-05-11 0.574398 1.037321 1.811765 3.190336 5.570717 9.495948 16.437498
2025-05-18 0.489800 0.926223 1.688343 3.102574 5.646193 10.006910 18.019132
2025-05-25 0.410730 0.811600 1.540851 2.948680 5.580714 10.262218 19.180367
2025-06-01 0.364934 0.751245 1.481248 2.943235 5.776301 10.989796 21.258202
2025-06-08 0.319329 0.683859 1.398409 2.880900 5.854297 11.507357 23.002507
2025-06-15 0.302729 0.673854 1.427825 3.046909 6.404852 12.994339 26.814702
2025-06-22 0.280991 0.649698 1.425538 3.148804 6.841880 14.316604 30.473953
2025-06-29 0.253432 0.608402 1.381674 3.157323 7.087247 15.286375 33.541585
2025-07-06 0.216163 0.538953 1.267081 2.995894 6.947815 15.447120 34.938604
2025-07-13 0.202461 0.522576 1.268042 3.092813 7.388611 16.886066 39.259108
2025-07-20 0.193930 0.517382 1.293846 3.250468 7.987266 18.737653 44.714705
2025-07-27 0.180871 0.498643 1.284787 3.323559 8.397544 20.214763 49.494843
2025-08-03 0.166922 0.475283 1.261033 3.357038 8.716536 21.518179 54.023784
2025-08-10 0.148187 0.435925 1.191331 3.264448 8.711731 22.057627 56.788321
2025-08-17 0.128625 0.390890 1.100183 3.102532 8.508058 22.089272 58.303202
2025-08-24 0.117980 0.369588 1.069161 3.096688 8.709430 23.144514 62.513514